| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Germany | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Turkey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Russia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alaska | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| United Arab Emirates | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Qatar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hungary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to forecast the location of the next in-person meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. The outcome matters because the venue signals diplomatic intent, security arrangements, and potential policy implications.
Trump and Putin have met in a mixture of bilateral summits and at multilateral forums hosted by third countries; past encounters have often occurred on the margins of G7/G20 meetings and designated state visits. Whether and where they meet depends on political calendars, host-country willingness, and security or legal constraints that can limit travel or public appearances.
Market prices are collective, continuously updating judgments about which venue is most likely to host the next meeting and should be read as real-time signals of consensus rather than definitive forecasts.
Typically the market will count an in-person, face-to-face encounter between the two leaders, whether bilateral or on the margins of a multilateral event; virtual meetings do not qualify. Consult the market's official rules/adjudication page for the exact definition used for settlement.
Merely attending the same multilateral summit without a direct face-to-face meeting generally does not meet the usual definition of 'meeting.' Settlement usually requires an identifiable encounter between the two; check the market rules for how marginal meetings are adjudicated.
Outcomes that distinguish between venue categories (host country, summit type, or leader's territory) are settled based on the physical location where the meeting took place; the market’s outcome list and adjudication criteria specify how those categories are applied.
Yes — restrictions on travel, criminal or administrative proceedings, or host-country denials of entry can materially alter the plausibility of different venues and are therefore key drivers of trading activity.
Primary decision-makers include the two principals and their closest national-security and diplomatic advisors; secondary influencers include potential host governments, mediating third parties, and intelligence/security agencies that assess feasibility and risk.