| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before March 7th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $412K | Trade → |
| Before March 11th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $117K | Trade → |
| Before February 28th, 2026 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $85K | Resolved |
| Before March 15th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $64K | Trade → |
| Before June 20th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Before April 13th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Before March 13th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Before March 9th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Before March 24th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Before March 19th, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $872 | Trade → |
| Before March 3rd, 2026 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $500 | Resolved |
| Before March 31st, 2026 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $234 | Trade → |
This market asks when Jayson Tatum will play his first game of the 2025-26 NBA season. It matters because his availability affects Celtics performance, betting lines, and fantasy/NBA market activity.
Jayson Tatum is a primary scorer and playmaker whose regular-season availability is closely watched by fans, bettors, and the Celtics organization. The NBA calendar includes training camp, preseason and then the regular season in the fall; timing of a star player's first game can be influenced by injury recovery, load management, roster moves, or league discipline.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s evolving expectations about when Tatum will first appear in a 2025-26 regular-season game and update as new official information arrives; they are indicators of collective belief, not guarantees.
Most markets of this wording refer to the first regular-season appearance in the 2025-26 season, not preseason or exhibition games; always check the contract text or market rules to confirm the official definition.
Team medical updates, practice participation reports and official injury timelines are major information drivers; positive reports typically move expectations earlier, while setbacks push markets later, but markets can move quickly as news breaks.
A postponement shifts the league schedule; the market outcome will depend on the actual calendar date of Tatum’s first regular-season appearance, so rescheduled games can move which outcome resolves—again, check contract settlement rules for edge cases.
A trade does not inherently invalidate the market: his first regular-season appearance for any team in 2025-26 would typically count. If he does not play at all that season, settlement depends on the market’s stated resolution rules.
The market closing time is listed as TBD; settlement will rely on official game logs, NBA box scores, and team announcements as specified in the market contract, so monitor those primary sources for confirmation.