| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 21.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 24.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Orlando wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 2¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which first-half point-spread outcome will occur between the Washington and Orlando teams and why that matters for short-term game expectations. First-half markets isolate the opening 24 minutes, making them useful for bettors and analysts focused on early-game dynamics.
This market, hosted on KALSHI, lists ten mutually exclusive first-half spread outcomes and currently shows total volume traded as $0 with a closing time listed as TBD, meaning trading and settlement rules will follow the exchange’s official event definitions. First-half spreads often differ from full-game spreads because coaches use different rotations early, star players may play limited minutes, and teams can implement short-term strategies specifically for the opening period.
Prices in this market reflect the crowd’s aggregated view of which first-half spread outcome is most likely given available information. Watch for price movement when new, event-specific information arrives—starting lineups, injury reports, and tip-off status tend to move first-half contracts quickly.
The market is divided into ten mutually exclusive outcomes representing different first-half point-differential ranges; the winning outcome is the one whose defined range contains the official halftime point margin as recorded by the league. Consult the event contract on KALSHI for the exact point ranges and the settlement rule for boundary cases.
Settlement follows KALSHI’s event rules and the league’s official game status: if the official first half is not completed or final, the exchange may void or suspend the market according to its predefined contingency procedures. Check the platform’s market description and rules for this event for exact voiding and settlement policies.
Late roster changes often materially affect first-half expectations because starters and rotation minutes determine early scoring and defense; market prices typically react quickly to such news, so traders monitoring this event should watch official injury reports and team announcements close to tip-off.
This market settles based on the official halftime score differential between Washington and Orlando as published by the league and recorded in the contract. For exact tie, boundary, or push procedures, refer to the contract’s settlement clause on KALSHI.
Volume of $0 indicates there has been no recorded trading activity yet, which can mean low liquidity and potentially wider price swings when orders arrive; a TBD close means the exchange has not yet set or publicly fixed the market’s official closing time, so monitor the platform for updates before making trading decisions.