| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 12.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 13.5 runs scored | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on the total combined runs scored in the Washington vs Chicago C game across an 11-outcome grid; it matters because total-run markets summarize hitting, pitching, park and weather effects into a single, tradeable event.
This matchup pits Washington against the team labeled Chicago C in a contest where run production depends on starting pitchers, bullpens, lineups and ballpark factors. Markets like this are commonly structured as multiple mutually exclusive run-range outcomes so traders can express views on whether the game will be low-, medium- or high-scoring.
Odds or prices in this market reflect the market’s aggregate expectation for which run-range will occur and will move as new information (starting pitchers, weather, lineups, injuries) becomes available; lower prices indicate outcomes currently perceived as more likely by market participants.
A TBD close means trades remain possible until Kalshi sets the market’s official trading cutoff; prices will typically remain reactive to new information right up until that cutoff.
The 11 outcomes are mutually exclusive run-range bins (e.g., 0, 1, 2, … or ranges like 0–2, 3–5 depending on market design) that partition all possible total-run results so traders can target specific scoring bands.
Late scratches to key hitters, a change of starting pitcher, or a late bullpen report are the most market-moving player-level updates because they directly alter run-scoring and pitching-matchup expectations.
Check wind direction and speed, temperature, and the ballpark’s historical run-scoring tendencies; parks that favor hitters or strong winds out tend to raise expected totals versus cold, windy or pitchers-friendly settings.
Head-to-head history can provide context—like which pitching staffs have historically succeeded—but more weight usually goes to current-season pitcher/hitter matchups, bullpen health, and immediate game conditions.