| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago C wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 1.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 2.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 3.5 runs | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point spread between Washington and Chicago C will resolve for a single matchup; it matters because spreads capture expected margin of victory and are commonly used for betting and comparative team assessment.
The spread reflects recent team performance, matchup specifics, and situational factors such as pitching matchups, injuries, and venue. Historical head-to-head results and season-long trends can inform expectations, but single-game spreads frequently shift as new information (starter announcements, weather, scratches) arrives. The market is currently listed on KALSHI with closing time to be determined.
Market prices summarize collective trader expectations about the margin of victory; they update in real time as participants incorporate new information. Treat prices as signals about market sentiment rather than guarantees of an outcome.
The market close is listed as TBD; typically the platform will set a close time before the scheduled game start, and the market closes when trading stops or when outcomes are resolved according to the event rules—check the KALSHI event page for updates.
Each outcome corresponds to a different range or side of the spread (for example, various margin brackets favoring one team or the other); consult the event’s outcome descriptions on the platform to see the exact margin ranges for each listed outcome.
Key items include official confirmation of starting pitchers, last-minute injuries or lineup changes, weather updates that affect park conditions, and late scratches or roster moves; any of these can materially shift the expected margin.
Head-to-head history can provide context about matchup tendencies, park-specific outcomes, and managerial approaches, but single-game spreads are driven more by current-season form, daily matchups, and immediate roster/pitching information.
Zero volume indicates no recorded trades yet, implying low liquidity and that posted prices may be thin or easily moved; exercise caution, monitor for initial trades and incoming information, and be aware that prices may be more volatile until trading activity increases.