| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Bregman: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrés Chaparro: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrés Chaparro: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brady House: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brady House: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| CJ Abrams: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| CJ Abrams: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carson Kelly: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carson Kelly: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dansby Swanson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dansby Swanson: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daylen Lile: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daylen Lile: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ian Happ: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ian Happ: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacob Young: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Wood: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Wood: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joey Wiemer: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joey Wiemer: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Keibert Ruiz: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Keibert Ruiz: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Busch: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Busch: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Moisés Ballesteros: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Moisés Ballesteros: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nasim Nuñez: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nasim Nuñez: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nico Hoerner: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nico Hoerner: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market offers positions on the number of home runs in the Washington vs Chicago C matchup; it matters because home-run outcomes are a high-impact, easily verified game event that reflect pitching matchups, lineups, and park/weather conditions.
Washington and Chicago C are MLB franchises with differing offensive profiles that evolve from season to season; historical matchups, recent team slugging rates, and roster construction provide context but do not determine a single-game result. For any given game, starting pitchers, lineup decisions, and ballpark factors often dominate the short‑term home run picture.
Market odds summarize traders' collective expectations for each listed home-run outcome and update as new information arrives (lineups, weather, pitcher changes). Treat odds as a real‑time information signal that incorporates changing evidence rather than a guarantee of outcome.
Each outcome corresponds to a particular home‑run total (or a small range) as labeled on the market page; consult the outcome labels on the trading interface to see the exact home‑run count tied to each outcome.
Settlement will use the official game statistics and box score as recorded by the league and the market's stated official data source; the market finalizes based on those official records.
Home runs recorded in official play, including extra innings after a resumed game, generally count once the league issues final official statistics; suspended games are handled according to the league's official resolution and the market will settle on the official final record.
Scratches or injuries to regular middle‑of‑order power hitters, or removal of a hitter who performs well against a particular pitcher handedness, materially change expected home runs; additions of a power bat to the active lineup have the opposite effect.
Check wind direction and speed, temperature, humidity, and historical homer rates at the game's ballpark—winds blowing out and warmer, drier air tend to increase home‑run carry, while wind into the park and cool, humid conditions suppress it.