| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether any run will be scored during the first inning of the Washington vs Chicago C game. First-inning scoring can influence in-game strategies and is a common focus for short-term traders and bettors.
First-inning run outcomes depend heavily on the starting pitchers, the top of each batting order, and game-day conditions; teams and pitchers have varying historical tendencies for early scoring. For this matchup, pregame lineup announcements, the confirmed starting pitchers, and venue/weather details are the primary context to watch. The market is hosted on KALSHI and currently lists a single outcome; closing time is set by the platform (TBD).
Market odds represent the aggregated view of traders based on available information and will move as new pregame information arrives. Use odds movements alongside hard news (lineups, weather, scratches) to understand changing expectations.
Any run officially recorded during the top or bottom of the first inning in the game's official box score counts. Runs scored on hits, walks with the bases loaded, errors, wild pitches, etc., are included. If the first inning is not completed due to suspension or postponement, resolution follows KALSHI's rulebook.
Closing time is listed as TBD on the event page; platforms typically set a close before first pitch or as specified in their rules. Check the KALSHI event page for the confirmed close time and any last-minute changes.
The starting pitchers are the primary influencers, along with the top of each batting order (especially the leadoff and two-hole hitters). Late scratches to those hitters or a last-minute change in the starting pitcher can materially affect the likely outcome.
Wind blowing out, warm air, and hitter-friendly park dimensions increase the chance of runs early; cold, damp, or strong wind into the field tends to suppress scoring. Check pregame weather forecasts and park tendencies for this venue to assess impact.
Pregame lineup releases and any late scratches or pitcher changes typically cause immediate repricing as they alter expected offense or pitching quality. A rain delay or postponement before completion of the first inning will trigger KALSHI's resolution rules, which determine whether the market is voided, paused, or otherwise resolved.