| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deni Avdija: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deni Avdija: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deni Avdija: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deni Avdija: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which three-point-related outcome will occur when Washington visits Portland. It matters because three-point shooting often swings game scoring dynamics and determines how this specific market will settle.
Washington and Portland have different historical three-point profiles—Portland has often emphasized perimeter shooting while Washington's volume and accuracy depend on roster and game plan. Pace, defensive matchups, and coaching adjustments influence attempts and makes, as do arena factors like sightlines and crowd. The market offers multiple mutually exclusive three-point outcomes for this single game; check the KALSHI event page for the official close time and resolution criteria.
Market prices reflect the aggregate expectations of traders and update as new information arrives; treat them as a live indicator of perceived likelihoods, not guarantees. If the close time is listed as TBD, expect greater volatility as resolution approaches and as pregame news appears.
The listing currently shows the close as TBD; consult the KALSHI event page for the announced close time. Markets typically close at a specified pregame or game-start time and then resolve according to the platform's published rules.
Resolution normally relies on the official game box score designated in the market rules (commonly the league's official box score). Verify the exact source on the KALSHI event details before trading.
That depends on the market's resolution language. Some three-point markets include overtime while others limit counting to regulation—check the KALSHI event rules to confirm which applies here.
Player availability changes directly affect the on-court reality that determines settlement and typically move market prices as traders react. Settlement is based on the official recorded statistics regardless of the reason a player missed time.
Resolution policies vary by platform; check KALSHI's event and market rules. Common outcomes include voiding the market, rescheduling resolution, or following a specific rule for partial games—KALSHI will publish the applicable procedure for this event.