| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Suggs: 2+ | 0% | 1¢ | 67¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero: 1+ | 0% | 39¢ | 72¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero: 2+ | 0% | 2¢ | 55¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paolo Banchero: 3+ | 0% | 2¢ | 37¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jalen Suggs: 3+ | 0% | 1¢ | 97¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jalen Suggs: 1+ | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market concerns the number or allocation of steals in the Washington at Orlando game; it matters because steals are a high-leverage stat that can change possession flow and influence game outcomes and live trading.
Steals are a recorded box-score statistic reflecting defensive takeaways credited by the official scorer. In head-to-head NBA matchups, steals are driven by team defensive concepts, individual on-ball pressure, pace of play, and turnover tendencies — historical patterns can inform expectations but may shift with lineup or role changes.
Market prices aggregate traders' views about which listed steals outcome is most likely; interpret prices as a real-time signal of market consensus and of which outcomes traders expect, not as fixed forecasts.
Settlement is based on the official game box score 'steals' (STL) as recorded by the official scorer; consult the market contract text on KALSHI for the definitive settlement source.
Whether overtime counts depends on the specific contract language for this market; check the market description or KALSHI’s rules section to see if overtime possessions are included in settlement.
The event title alone doesn’t specify the metric—review the listed outcomes on the market page to see whether they refer to a single team, combined team totals, or ranges; outcome labels determine what is being measured.
Monitor announced starting lineups, projected minutes for primary ball-handlers and perimeter defenders, late scratches or rest designations, and any rotation/injury news, since those changes materially affect steal opportunities.
The market close time is listed as TBD; KALSHI markets typically close at or just before game start per the contract—check the market page for the official close time and update your view based on final injury reports and confirmed starters shortly before tipoff.