| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon wins by over 1.5 Points | 45% | 45¢ | 49¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 1.5 Points | 47% | 45¢ | 47¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 2.5 Points | 45% | 41¢ | 45¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 2.5 Points | 45% | 42¢ | 45¢ | — | $337 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 16.5 Points | 6% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $163 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 4.5 Points | 36% | 33¢ | 36¢ | — | $53 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 16.5 Points | 9% | 4¢ | 7¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 5.5 Points | 30% | 32¢ | 35¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 21¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 14¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 23¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 24¢ | 27¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 11¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 29¢ | 33¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 16¢ | 17¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 35¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 7¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 17¢ | 18¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 27¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oregon wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 19¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes tied to the point spread for the Washington at Oregon game; it matters because the spread encodes the market’s consensus about likely margin of victory and is sensitive to game-day information.
Washington vs. Oregon is a regular conference matchup with a long regional rivalry and frequently meaningful implications for standings and bowl positioning. Home-field factors (stadium environment, travel) and contrasting team styles (offensive tempo, defensive schemes) have historically affected expected margins and betting lines.
Prices in this spread market reflect how traders value each possible margin bucket; higher-priced outcomes indicate greater market support for that margin. Interpret prices as a real-time aggregation of available information (injuries, weather, lineup changes, betting flow) rather than fixed forecasts.
Close time is listed on the market page (currently TBD); the market will resolve after the game concludes according to the platform’s stated resolution rules, typically using the official final score to determine which spread bucket wins.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific spread range or margin-of-victory bucket for the game; the market’s interface shows the exact mapping of outcomes to point margins and the market will resolve to the bucket that contains the final score margin.
A late scratch for a key starter—especially a quarterback or primary defender—materially changes expected margin and often triggers rapid price movement; monitor official injury reports and team announcements and expect the market to reprice up to the stated close.
Resolution in the event of postponement or cancellation follows the exchange’s rules—common outcomes include voiding/refunding trades if the contest is not played within the platform’s allowable timeframe or resolving based on an official completed portion of the game; check KALSHI’s market rules for specifics.
Relevant trends include recent head-to-head results, which team typically controls tempo, home-field impacts at Oregon’s stadium, and how each coaching staff has adjusted scheme matchups; these contextual patterns help frame expectations but do not guarantee future margins.