| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sarr: 1+ | 66% | 11¢ | 77¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| Bam Adebayo: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 52¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bam Adebayo: 2+ | 0% | 0¢ | 53¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Sarr: 3+ | 0% | 1¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Sarr: 2+ | 0% | 33¢ | 41¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bam Adebayo: 1+ | 0% | 9¢ | 90¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market covers the blocks-related outcome for the Washington at Miami game — i.e., which block outcome occurs in that specific matchup. It matters to traders because blocks are a measurable defensive statistic that can swing game narratives and market prices based on late news and matchups.
Blocks depend on teams' defensive schemes, the presence of rim protectors, and the matchup between shot-blocking defenders and opponents' interior/off-ball shot attempts. Historical head-to-head numbers provide context but are less predictive than current rotations, recent form, and injury status. Because blocks are relatively infrequent events, individual players or a sudden change in minutes can materially affect expectations.
Market prices reflect the aggregated expectations of participants and update as new information (injuries, rotations, rest, official status) becomes available. Use prices as a real-time indicator of consensus sentiment while verifying the event's resolution rules on the platform.
This event lists its close time as TBD — consult the KALSHI event page for the official closure and any last-minute updates. Resolution is typically based on the league’s official box score for the scheduled game date, but check the event rules to confirm whether the market closes at tip-off or at another specified time.
Resolution normally uses the official NBA box score and play-by-play as reported by the league or the data vendor named on the event page. The event’s rules will specify the authoritative source; always verify that source on the market page.
Whether overtime counts depends on the market’s specific resolution rules. If the event page does not explicitly state 'regulation only,' many markets include overtime, but you must confirm the rule shown on this KALSHI event before trading.
A late scratch or lineup change can materially alter expected block totals and is likely to move market prices as traders react. For settlement, blocks are credited according to the official game statistics regardless of when a change was announced; check the event page for cutoffs when trades can no longer be placed.
Resolution policy for postponements or cancellations is defined on the event page and the platform’s rulebook; common approaches are voiding the market, settling based on the rescheduled game, or following a specified window for completion. Confirm KALSHI’s stated policy for this event to know how such contingencies will be handled.