| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Victor Wembanyama will record a quadruple double during the relevant NBA season; it matters because a quadruple double is an extremely rare, headline-making statistical achievement for any player.
Wembanyama is an unusually versatile, tall two-way player whose combination of scoring, playmaking, rebounding and rim protection has led to speculation about rare statistical outcomes. Quadruple doubles have occurred very rarely in NBA history, so the market tests whether his skill set and role will align with that uncommon milestone.
Market prices represent the aggregate beliefs of traders about whether this outcome will occur and will move as new information (minutes, injuries, role changes) becomes available; view prices as evolving signals rather than guarantees.
For settlement purposes a quadruple double means a single official NBA game in which Wembanyama records at least ten in any four of the standard five box-score categories (points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks), as measured by the market's designated official statistic source.
This specific market's inclusion window is defined by the contract on the exchange; check the KALSHI market page or contract text to see whether settlement covers regular season only, playoffs, or both.
Settlement is based on the official game logs during the season window covered by the market; if he does not record a qualifying game during that window, the outcome is treated as not occurring. Any trade does not change individual game stats, but check the exchange rules for unusual scenarios like season suspension or cancellation.
The market settles according to the exchange-specified official box-score provider listed in the contract; consult the market page for the named source and dispute-resolution procedures.
Quadruple doubles are historically extremely rare, so past frequency implies the event is unlikely for most players; however, Wembanyama's unique combination of size, playmaking and rim protection makes him a less conventional case, so compare his role and usage to historical cases when evaluating the market.