| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 97% | 0¢ | 97¢ | — | $29 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 47% | 47¢ | 80¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 40¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 60¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 80¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many runs will be scored combined by Venezuela and Nicaragua during the first five innings of their game. It matters to traders who want to take positions on early-game scoring dynamics rather than the final result.
Venezuela and Nicaragua meet in an international baseball matchup where early-inning scoring often reflects starting-pitcher matchups, lineup construction, and tournament context. Historical head-to-heads, recent international play, and roster strength for each country provide relevant background for assessing expected early runs.
Market prices (odds) reflect collective expectations about the total runs in innings 1–5; higher-priced outcomes indicate fewer traders supporting that outcome and vice versa. Use prices as a real-time signal combined with your own analysis of starters, lineups, and conditions.
It measures the combined number of runs scored by both teams during innings 1 through 5 only; runs scored in the 6th inning and beyond, as well as extra innings, are not counted.
Starting pitchers are a primary driver: pitchers with strong first-inning and early-inning track records reduce expected totals, while those with high walk or hard-contact rates tend to increase early-run expectations. Handedness and matchup history against opposing hitters are also relevant.
The seven outcomes partition the possible first-five-innings run totals into mutually exclusive categories (ranges or exact totals) used to settle the market; only one outcome will resolve true based on the official first-five-innings box score.
Settlement follows the platform’s published rules and the official game record: if the first five innings are not completed or the game is officially postponed/canceled, the market may be voided or settled per the exchange’s contingency policy — check the KALSHI event terms for specifics.
Low volume indicates limited trading liquidity and that prices may be driven by few participants; it doesn’t change the event’s objective outcome but means price moves may be more volatile and reflect less consensus.