| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many runs will be scored combined by Venezuela and Japan during the first five innings of their game; it matters for traders focused on early-game pitching and offensive matchups.
Venezuela and Japan are international baseball programs that can deploy different rosters and strategies than their domestic leagues, so expectations hinge on announced lineups and starters. International contests often emphasize starting-pitcher matchups and small-ball tactics, and those factors can shift the likely scoring pace before first pitch.
Market odds aggregate traders' expectations for runs in the first five innings and will move as new information arrives (starting pitchers, official lineups, weather, etc.). Traders should interpret prices as a real-time reflection of available information, not a fixed prediction.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific run total or range for combined runs scored through the first five innings; the event page lists the exact ranges or discrete totals that determine which outcome wins.
The event currently shows a close time of TBD; markets like this commonly stop trading at first pitch or when starters and official lineups are locked, but you should check the KALSHI event page for the platform's official close policy.
Starter announcements are highly influential because a dominant or control-oriented starter tends to suppress early runs, while a fatigued or hittable starter tends to increase them; traders typically reprice the market once starters are official.
Weather and park factors influence actual run-scoring (wind, temperature, altitude, and park dimensions), which affects market movement, but settlement is based on the official box score showing combined runs through five innings.
Settlement follows the platform's official rules: some platforms void or cancel markets if the contest doesn't reach the required innings, while others use the official scorer's record or apply dispute procedures for later corrections—consult KALSHI's settlement and dispute policies for the definitive outcome process.