| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $258 | Trade → |
| Venezia | 73% | 72¢ | 73¢ | — | $217 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 17¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express predictions on the outcome of the Venezia vs Avellino match on KALSHI. It matters because match results determine league or cup progress and provide a focal point for short-term informational trading.
Venezia and Avellino are Italian professional clubs with differing recent trajectories, squad compositions, and tactical styles; historical meetings and current squad availability can shift the expected balance. The contract offers three outcomes and currently shows modest trading volume ($475), so market prices may reflect limited liquidity as well as new information as it arrives.
Market prices aggregate traders' views and react to news such as team announcements, injuries, and lineup changes. With low-to-moderate volume, price moves can be amplified by relatively small bets, so treat quotes as real-time signals rather than fixed predictions.
The official close time is listed on the KALSHI contract page and is currently TBD; many match markets close at or shortly before scheduled kick-off, but check the specific contract for exact timing.
This market comprises three mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to the match result: Venezia win, draw, and Avellino win (confirm the exact labels on the contract page).
Settlement follows the rules specified in the contract and is based on the official match result as recorded by the competition organizer—typically the full-time score at the final whistle, with provisions for postponement, abandonment, or cancellations described in the contract.
A $475 total indicates modest liquidity and market participation; prices can move substantially on relatively small trades, so interpret short-term movements cautiously and monitor for incoming information that could change the market view.
Watch confirmed starting lineups and substitutions, late injuries or suspensions, recent form and goal-scoring trends, any managerial announcements, and situational factors like fixture congestion or travel that could affect team selection and performance.