| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver wins by over 1.5 goals | 31% | 30¢ | 31¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 1.5 goals | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | — | $680 | Trade → |
| Vancouver wins by over 2.5 goals | 14% | 14¢ | 15¢ | — | $335 | Trade → |
| Portland wins by over 2.5 goals | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $5 | Trade → |
This market trades which spread outcome will occur in the Vancouver at Portland match — i.e., which team will cover the offered goal/point margins. It matters to traders who want to express views on the likely winning margin rather than just the outright winner.
Vancouver and Portland are regional rivals with a history of competitive matches; venue, travel and tactical matchups between the clubs often influence scoring patterns. Markets for spreads partition possible margins into discrete outcomes so traders can take positions on expected dominance, close games, or narrow covers.
Odds in this spread market reflect the market consensus about which margin outcome is most likely, and they move as traders incorporate new information (lineups, injuries, weather, etc.). Use prices to compare how the market is valuing different margin ranges, not as fixed predictions.
The market is split into four mutually exclusive spread outcomes that represent different margin ranges or cover results for the match. Each outcome corresponds to a particular spread label shown on the market page; consult the market interface for the exact wording of each outcome.
This market's close time is listed as TBD on the page; platforms typically close spread markets at kickoff or when the match result is reliably determinable. Final settlement will follow the platform's published rules and the official match result once any league adjudications are completed.
Major absences to attacking or defensive starters materially change the expected margin; the market often reacts quickly to official lineup news. If you expect a larger impact than the market price implies, that is when liquidity can be most informative for taking a trade.
Head-to-head history provides context—some teams match up stylistically better against certain opponents—but recent form, current rosters, venue and tactical setup are generally more predictive for a single-match spread outcome.
Settlement in those scenarios follows the platform's rulebook (here, KALSHI). Common approaches: postponement can delay settlement until the rescheduled match; abandoned matches may be voided or settled based on the state at abandonment; extra time/penalties are usually excluded unless the market explicitly covers them—check the market terms for definitive guidance.