| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 0 strokes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1 stroke | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2 strokes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 4 strokes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 5 strokes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6 or more strokes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3 strokes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which stroke-margin outcome will be true at the end of Round 4 of the Valspar Championship; it matters because final stroke margins summarize how decisive the tournament finish was and are driven by player performance, course setup, and conditions.
The Valspar Championship is a PGA Tour event played at Innisbrook Resort's Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, a layout known for narrow fairways, challenging greens, and strategic risk-reward holes that often shape late-round swings. Final-round margins at this event reflect both individual player form and how the course and weather combine to compress or separate scores down the stretch. Markets for end-of-round-4 outcomes give a compact way to trade on those final-margin scenarios.
Prediction-market prices for this kind of market represent the crowd's aggregated expectations about which margin range will describe the official end-of-round-4 result; they update as new information arrives (leaderboard movement, tee times, weather, withdrawals). Treat prices as real-time signals, not guarantees, and check official tournament scoring for settlement.
It refers to the official stroke difference between the first-place finisher and the nearest competitor as recorded at the conclusion of Round 4 (after 72 holes) according to the tournament's official scoring.
The market settles after the tournament posts official final scores for Round 4 and any scoring corrections; settlement will use the tournament's official scoring feed (typically the PGA Tour or the Valspar Championship's official results) as the authoritative source.
Settlement is based on the scoreline at the conclusion of Round 4; if players are tied after 72 holes, the end-of-round-4 margin is zero for those tied positions. Any playoff that occurs after Round 4 does not change the round-4 margin used for this market unless the market rules explicitly state otherwise.
The market resolves to the official final scores posted by the tournament. If a player withdraws or is disqualified and does not have an official completed 72-hole score, their standing is determined per the tournament's official scoring rules and may change the final margin; traders should rely on official updates for such situations.
Consider Copperhead's tendency to penalize errant drives, how par-5 holes present birdie opportunities late, and past tournaments' distribution of final margins (frequent close finishes versus occasional multi-shot wins); also account for how softer or firmer turf and wind on Sunday have historically compressed or expanded scoring separations.