| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals | 38% | 35¢ | 37¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals | 22% | 22¢ | 25¢ | — | $91 | Trade → |
| Utah wins by over 1.5 goals | 23% | 21¢ | 23¢ | — | $55 | Trade → |
| Utah wins by over 2.5 goals | 12% | 12¢ | 16¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
This market is a point-spread contract tied to the Utah at Minnesota game; it lets traders take positions on which side will cover the spread and matters because spreads synthesize team quality, situational factors, and betting sentiment.
The outcome will reflect how Utah and Minnesota perform head-to-head on game day, influenced by recent form, coaching matchups, and roster availability. Historical results between the programs, travel demands, and the specific season context (injuries, momentum, conference play) typically shape expectations heading into the matchup.
Market prices indicate aggregated trader expectations about whether the final margin will fall into each spread outcome; prices change as new information (injuries, weather, lineup news) arrives and are not fixed predictions of the final score.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific settlement range tied to the final margin relative to the posted spread; the event’s contract text on the KALSHI page lists the exact margin breakpoints for the four buckets.
The close time is listed as TBD on the event header; KALSHI will publish the final close time on the event page—spreads typically stop trading shortly before game start, after which no new orders are accepted.
A late injury usually triggers rapid market repricing as traders incorporate the change; while prices may move significantly, the market’s final settlement still depends on the official game result and the contract’s settlement rules.
Home advantage is a standard input when setting and trading spreads; the market will reflect how much players, venue, and travel are expected to influence the on-field performance without guaranteeing outcomes.
Treatment of an exact margin depends on the contract language—some markets treat a push as a tie or pay out a specific outcome—so consult the KALSHI event rules and settlement terms for this market.