| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington wins by over 5.5 Points | 52% | 52¢ | 54¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 8.5 Points | 43% | 41¢ | 42¢ | — | $892 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 2.5 Points | 68% | 62¢ | 66¢ | — | $454 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 20.5 Points | 12% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $209 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 11.5 Points | 27% | 27¢ | 33¢ | — | $73 | Trade → |
| USC wins by over 1.5 Points | 29% | 25¢ | 29¢ | — | $49 | Trade → |
| USC wins by over 4.5 Points | 22% | 16¢ | 21¢ | — | $43 | Trade → |
| USC wins by over 7.5 Points | 9% | 11¢ | 14¢ | — | $2 | Trade → |
| USC wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 4¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 10¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Washington wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 18¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes based on the point-spread result of the USC at Washington game; it matters because spread markets aggregate real-time information about expectations for the margin of victory.
USC and Washington are programs with lengthy histories of competitive matchups; recent conference realignments and scheduling quirks can affect frequency and context for this pairing. Game-level factors such as starting quarterback availability, coaching matchups, and travel plans often shape pregame expectations and line movement.
Market prices reflect the consensus view about which side will cover a particular spread outcome and update as new information (injuries, weather, betting flow) arrives; traders use prices to compare their own expectations against the market.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific spread interval or exact cover condition (different point-margin ranges offered by the market). The market is settled against the officially reported final score and which side covered the spread for that outcome.
Settlement occurs after the official final score is available from the exchange's designated data source; 'Closes: TBD' means the trading window and formal close time will be posted once set—monitor the market page for the announced close time and any updates.
Quarterback status is typically the largest driver, followed by injuries to leading rushers, top receivers, or key defensive starters; changes to the offensive line or a sudden suspension/ejection can also produce large price shifts.
Seattle-area weather (wind, rain, wet-field conditions) and crowd environment can favor teams built to run and defend; travel distance and time-zone effects for USC can also influence expectations for performance and margin.
Use matchup-specific metrics—pace, offensive/defensive efficiency, turnover margin, and recent form—while recognizing that schedule strength and personnel changes between seasons limit direct comparability; compare those insights to market prices to identify potential value.