| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Julio Rodriguez: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bryce Harper: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Juan Soto: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aaron Judge: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manny Machado: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Roman Anthony: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ketel Marte: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Junior Caminero: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Gunnar Henderson: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Bobby Witt Jr.: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kyle Schwarber: 1+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market lets traders bet on home-run outcomes in the USA vs Dominican Republic baseball matchup; it matters because home-run production is a key driver of scoring and game dynamics between two power-oriented teams.
The United States and the Dominican Republic are perennial baseball powerhouses with many professional players and strong traditions of power hitting; roster composition, tournament format, and pitching matchups can vary widely depending on whether this is an exhibition, World Baseball Classic, or other international contest. Historical matchups often feature high-leverage hitters from the DR and a deep pool of power and speed options for the USA, but final impact depends on day-of lineups and pitcher usage.
Market prices reflect the consensus judgment of traders about likely home-run outcomes and will move as new information (lineups, weather, pitching changes) arrives. Use those prices as a real-time signal, but verify with official game details and platform rules before trading.
The event page lists a closing time; if it is shown as TBD, the market will typically close shortly before the game start listed by the event organizer—check the KALSHI event page for the exact closing timestamp once it is set.
Resolution uses the official game statistics recorded by the game's official scorer (e.g., tournament organizer, MLB/WBSC as applicable); both over-the-fence and inside-the-park home runs that appear in the official box score count, subject to KALSHI's stated resolution rules.
If those runs are included in the official box score for the completed game, they count; specific tiebreaker rules depend on the competition, so confirm with the event organizer's official statistics and KALSHI's resolution policy.
Watch the announced starting pitchers (their HR/9 and fly-ball tendencies), the middle-of-order hitters and designated hitters for both teams, late-inning power bats who may pinch-hit, and any unexpected roster changes—final lineups released before first pitch have the biggest impact.
KALSHI resolves markets according to its event-resolution rules and the official status of the game; if the contest is not made official or is canceled, the market may be voided or settled per platform policy—consult the market rules on the event page for the definitive procedure.