| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many total runs USA and Canada will combine to score across the first five innings of their game. It matters because early-inning scoring is driven by starting pitchers and lineup choices and can diverge from full-game outcomes.
USA and Canada meet frequently in international and exhibition baseball/softball contexts, where early innings often reflect the strength of each team's starter and offensive approach. Historical matchups can show patterns — for example, whether one side tends to score early or rely on later innings — but each game is driven by the announced starters, lineups, and game context.
Market odds represent the trading market's consensus about the expected first-five-innings total and update as new information arrives. Moving prices typically reflect late-breaking items like starting pitcher announcements, weather, lineup changes, or injury news.
Platform-specific rules determine the close time; typically markets like this close at or shortly before first pitch or when starting lineups are locked. If the listing shows 'TBD', check the KALSHI event page for an updated close time before the game.
All runs scored by both teams from the top of the 1st through the bottom of the 5th inning inclusive. Runs scored after the fifth inning, including extra innings, are excluded; consult KALSHI's market rules for precise scoring definitions.
Very strongly — a change in the probable starter can alter expected early scoring because pitchers differ in first-inning strike rates, platoon splits, and typical lengths. Traders watch official confirmations, injury reports, and bullpen usage closely.
Settlement follows KALSHI's stated resolution policy: the market could be voided, held open until the game resumes, or settled under specific incomplete-game rules. Check the platform's contingency and settlement guidelines for this market.
Watch official lineup announcements, starting pitcher warmup and activation reports, final weather and wind forecasts, any bullpen movement or pitcher replacements, and managerial notes about using an opener or limiting a starter's pitch count.