| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | 90¢ | 97¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs scored | 85% | 75¢ | 96¢ | — | $75 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs scored | 85% | 70¢ | 97¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 85% | 66¢ | 97¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 85% | 56¢ | 97¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 85% | 46¢ | 85¢ | — | $49 | Trade → |
| Over 9.5 runs scored | 0% | 18¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 12.5 runs scored | 0% | 5¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 10.5 runs scored | 0% | 10¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 11.5 runs scored | 0% | 6¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 13.5 runs scored | 0% | 4¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 0% | 30¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market covers the outcome(s) of the USA vs Brazil sports matchup and matters because it aggregates trader expectations about specific game events and results for fans and bettors following the fixture.
USA vs Brazil is a high-profile international pairing with a long history across multiple sports; Brazil is often viewed as a traditional powerhouse while the USA has had periods of rapid improvement depending on the sport and age group. The immediate context — whether this is a friendly, qualifier, tournament match, or club exhibition — affects team selection, intensity, and strategic approach.
Prediction-market prices reflect collective beliefs about those specific listed outcomes at a point in time and should be read as the market’s consensus input signal rather than a guaranteed forecast; prices can move as lineup news, injuries, weather, or other information arrives.
The 12 outcomes typically span a mix of match-level and event-level options such as match-winner/draw, goal-total ranges, exact-score lines, first-goal scorer or scorer categories, timing windows for goals, and discipline or penalty events; consult the market page for the exact labeled outcomes.
When the fixture is a tournament or qualifier, teams are likelier to field strongest lineups and manage risk conservatively; friendlies often feature rotation, experimental tactics, and younger players, which increases outcome uncertainty and can change which market outcomes are most relevant.
Late lineup announcements, injury reports during warmups, red cards, early goals, confirmed substitutions of key players, and official weather or venue changes are the fastest-moving information that typically shifts market prices.
Track official squad lists and starting XI confirmations, injury and suspension reports, travel or club-release disputes, and any pre-match coach statements about rotation or target minutes for key players — these items materially affect expected match dynamics.
Resolution will follow the platform’s stated settlement rules using the official match report or governing-body result; if the fixture is postponed, abandoned, or goes to extra time/penalties, the market will be settled according to the event-specific rules noted on the market page (check the market’s rules or KALSHI’s resolution policy for exact procedures).