| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sweden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of three outcomes will occur in the Ukraine vs Sweden match (Ukraine win, draw, Sweden win). It aggregates traders' information and news into a single, up‑to‑date indicator of market expectations ahead of the game.
Ukraine and Sweden are established national sides with different tactical identities—Ukraine often emphasizes technical midfield play and counterattacks while Sweden is historically organized and physically robust. They have met in competitive fixtures and friendlies before; context (friendly, qualifier, tournament) and recent form will shape how each team approaches this specific match.
Market prices reflect the collective assessment of likely outcomes given available information; movements typically follow new data such as lineups, injuries, or weather. Use these prices alongside match reports, head‑to‑head trends, and tactical analysis rather than as the sole decision input.
They correspond to the three standard match results: a Ukraine win, a draw at the end of regulation time, and a Sweden win. Settlement is based on the official result specified in the market rules.
Settlement depends on the market rules published by the platform—many three‑outcome markets settle on the score at the end of regulation (90 minutes plus stoppage), while some specify tournament rules. Check the event terms on Kalshi for the definitive settlement condition.
Late confirmations or absences of key starters—such as the principal goal scorer, the starting goalkeeper, or the team captain—plus major tactical changes (e.g., switch to a defensive or highly attacking lineup) typically drive the largest market moves.
Treat confirmed starting lineups, injury reports, and coach comments as high‑value signals. Early lineup leaks can be informative but wait for official confirmation; combine that information with historical head‑to‑head and tactical analysis for context.
The market close time will be published by the platform (currently listed as TBD); if the match is postponed or abandoned, Kalshi's event rules will specify whether the market is suspended, voided, or reconfigured—monitor official announcements for updates.