| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 19.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UIC wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 22.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UIC wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UIC wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| California wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UIC wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which spread bracket the final margin of the UIC at California game will fall into; it matters because spread markets capture market expectations about the margin of victory rather than just the winner. Traders and watchers use spread outcomes to express views on relative team strength and game control.
UIC is a mid‑major program while California (Cal) competes in a power conference; out‑of‑conference matchups between teams from different levels often feature mismatches in depth and recruiting but can produce surprises in a single game. Context such as season schedules, recent performance, and roster turnover are more informative than distant historical results for predicting a specific spread outcome.
Prices in a spread market represent the market’s collective view of which margin bracket is most likely; as game information changes (injuries, lineups, travel), those prices move to reflect updated expectations. For multi‑outcome spread markets, each listed outcome corresponds to a defined range of final margins—check the market page for the mapping and resolution rules.
The market will close according to the platform’s stated schedule—commonly at or shortly before game start—and the winning outcome is determined by the official final score (including overtime) as reported by the official game box score and the platform’s resolution rules.
Each of the 11 outcomes corresponds to a specific margin‑of‑victory bracket (for example ranges like 'Cal by 1–5', 'Cal by 6–10', etc.); the exact bracket definitions and tie/boundary rules are shown on the market page and in the platform’s market documentation.
Resolution follows KALSHI’s market rules: if the game is canceled or not completed within the platform’s specified timeframe the market may be voided or resolved per stated contingency procedures—check KALSHI’s rules and the market description for the applicable policy.
Track official injury reports, announced starting lineups, late scratches, minute restrictions, travel/arrival reports, coach press‑conference notes, and any in‑game betting or injury news that could shift the expected margin before kickoff.
Past head‑to‑head can provide context but is often limited or outdated for infrequent matchups; prioritize current‑season metrics, roster continuity, and recent performance when assessing likely spread outcomes for this specific game.