| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joshua Van | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brandon Royval | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brandon Moreno | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Muhammad Mokaev | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tatsuro Taira | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manel Kape | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kai Kara-France | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Amir Albazi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which fighter will be the official UFC Flyweight (125 lb) title holder on December 31, 2026. It matters because it aggregates market expectations about upcoming title fights, injuries, retirements, and UFC decisions that determine who holds the belt on that date.
The UFC Flyweight division has been shaped by frequent title defenses, occasional vacancies, and fighters moving between weight classes; champions can change through scheduled defenses, unification bouts, or promotional bookkeeping. Between now and Dec 31, 2026, the division’s picture can shift rapidly due to fight bookings, medical withdrawals, USADA or commission actions, and promotional choices by the UFC.
Market prices on this contract reflect collective expectations about which individual the UFC will recognize as Flyweight champion at the market’s official settlement time on Dec 31, 2026. Use prices as a real-time sentiment indicator and combine them with independent information about fight schedules, injuries, and official UFC announcements.
The title holder is the individual the UFC officially recognizes as the Flyweight champion at the market’s official settlement timestamp on Dec 31, 2026. The exchange will use the market’s contract terms and UFC’s public announcements as the resolution authority—consult the contract for the exact settlement moment.
If the UFC lists the belt as vacant at the market’s settlement time, the market will resolve according to the contract’s vacancy rules (for example, a 'vacant' outcome if offered) or the exchange’s stated resolution procedure. Review the market’s resolution text to see how vacancies are paid out.
The market follows the UFC’s official recognition: if the UFC unifies belts and names an undisputed champion, that person is the title holder; if the UFC continues to recognize an interim champion separately at settlement, resolution follows that official status. Always check UFC announcements and the market contract for details.
Announced title fights can directly change who will hold the belt by the settlement date; cancellations, opponent swaps, or postponements will also shift expectations. Track confirmed fight dates, medical clearances, and booking confirmations because those events tend to move market sentiment quickly.
The market close time and official resolution rules are specified by the exchange and are shown on the market page; this market currently lists the close time as TBD, so check the market page for updates. The contract text on the exchange is the final source for settlement timing and resolution procedures.