| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Hardwick | 31% | 27¢ | 31¢ | — | $553 | Trade → |
| Marwan Rahiki | 72% | 68¢ | 72¢ | — | $79 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which fighter will win the headliner of UFC Fight Night: Rahiki vs Hardwick. It matters because headliner outcomes affect fighter rankings, future matchups, and fan expectations.
UFC Fight Night cards are regular events on the UFC calendar and the headliner often features contenders or rising prospects seeking to climb divisional rankings. Outcomes from this bout will feed into both fighters' career trajectories, influence matchup opportunities, and shape betting and media narratives around the division.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s aggregated expectations and update as new information (lineups, injuries, weigh-ins) arrives; they are a snapshot of sentiment, not a guarantee of the result.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; typically the operator sets a close before the event start, so check the market page for the official closing timestamp and any last-minute updates.
This market offers two outcomes corresponding to the headliner: Rahiki wins or Hardwick wins. Settlement follows the event's official result as recognized by the sanctioning commission and market terms.
Settlement is based on the official in-cage result reported by the UFC and the relevant athletic commission (e.g., win by KO/TKO, submission or judges' decision) and any tie-breaking rules specified in the market contract.
Low volume indicates limited participation and liquidity, so market prices may be more volatile and less reflective of a broad consensus; single trades can move prices more than on a high-volume market.
Resolution depends on the market's specific terms and the operator's rules: common outcomes include voiding the market and refunding contracts, amending the market if a like-for-like replacement occurs, or settling based on an official rescheduling—check the market rules and official announcements for this event.