| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montserrat Rendon | 56% | 18¢ | 20¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Beatriz Mesquita | 78% | 78¢ | 82¢ | — | $716 | Trade → |
This market lets traders bet on which fighter — Mesquita or Rendon — wins the UFC Fight Night main event; it matters because market prices aggregate public and insider information leading up to the bout.
The event is a UFC Fight Night headliner between Mesquita and Rendon; both fighters' records, recent performances, and rankings provide the primary context for expectations. Factors such as recent opponents, layoff length, training camp reports, and any changes to the fight card will influence how observers and traders view the matchup.
Market prices reflect the crowd's current assessment of each fighter's chance to win and update as new information arrives; treat prices as real-time signals that can move with weigh-ins, medical news, or other late developments.
This market is a head-to-head contest between the two fighters: one outcome for a Mesquita win and one outcome for a Rendon win; any other results are handled according to platform rules.
Settlement follows the platform's official rules: if the official result is No Contest or a draw, trades are typically voided or settled as neither side winning — check KALSHI's event rules for the precise procedure.
The close time is listed as TBD for this market; commonly, fight markets close at or shortly before the official start of the bout, but you should monitor the event page for the exact closing time and any last‑minute changes.
Total volume shows how much money has been matched so far and indicates liquidity; lower volume can mean prices are more sensitive to new trades, while higher volume generally signals more robust market consensus — volume does not guarantee outcome accuracy.
Late developments can rapidly change market prices or trigger suspension; if a fighter withdraws the market may be paused or settled per platform rules, while a weight miss that allows the fight to proceed typically causes traders to re-evaluate perceived advantages — always follow official announcements before trading.