| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sean O'Malley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Petr Yan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Song Yadong | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Payton Talbott | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marlon Vera | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which fighter will hold the UFC Bantamweight (135 lb) title on December 31, 2026. It matters because the result reflects the championship lineage and can indicate which fighters and matchups drove the division over the year.
The UFC Bantamweight division has a history of frequent title defenses, interim belts, and occasional rapid turnover due to upsets, injuries, or promotional decisions. Championship status depends on official UFC recognition and athletic commission decisions, so changes can happen through scheduled title fights, retirements, disciplinary rulings, or vacancy declarations.
Market prices represent the community’s aggregated expectation about who will be officially recorded as champion on the settlement date and will move as new information arrives (fight results, injuries, commission rulings). Use them as a real-time signal of market sentiment, not as guaranteed outcomes.
The winning outcome is the fighter (or 'vacant' option, if present) officially recognized by the UFC and relevant athletic commissions as the bantamweight champion on the settlement date; the market follows official announcements and records.
Interim belts count only if the UFC officially recognizes an interim champion in its records at the settlement moment; if the UFC has declared the title vacant, the market outcome will reflect that official status.
The outcome that the UFC and the athletic commission record as the official champion on the settlement date will determine resolution; if a result is later changed by appeal or overturned before official records are updated, the market will follow the updated official record.
Key moments are official fight bookings for title bouts, injury or medical suspension announcements, anti-doping findings and disciplinary rulings, retirement or weight-class moves, and UFC statements about title status or vacancies.
Resolution is based on the official champion status as recorded by the UFC and athletic commissions on the settlement date; later reversals typically do not retroactively change the market outcome unless the platform’s rules specify otherwise.