| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Montes | 65% | 64¢ | 65¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| Ricky Turcios | 37% | 35¢ | 37¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
This market asks which fighter will win the UFC 326 main event between Turcios and Montes; it matters because markets aggregate public expectations and react quickly to fight-week developments that affect outcome likelihoods.
UFC 326 features a headliner between two professional mixed martial artists whose result can influence their place in the division and future matchmaking. The market is listed on KALSHI and has seen active trading (reported total volume traded: $6,452), which reflects participant interest but not a guarantee of outcome.
Prediction market odds represent the crowd’s collective expectation at a moment in time and will move as new information arrives; treat them as a real‑time indicator of sentiment rather than a certainty.
The listed close time is currently TBD; KALSHI will publish the official close time on the market page and you should check the platform for the most up‑to‑date information.
Each outcome corresponds to which fighter wins the scheduled bout — one outcome for a Turcios victory and one outcome for a Montes victory — and typically includes wins by decision, knockout/TKO, submission, or disqualification unless the market rules state otherwise.
A missed weight or a notably difficult weight cut can materially change expectations — it may lead to fines, a catchweight bout, or even cancellation — and market prices will usually move to reflect that news; consult KALSHI’s rules for settlement impacts.
Settlement treatment for cancellations or replacements follows KALSHI’s event rules; in some cases a market may be voided or paused, while in others the market may be updated to reflect the new matchup — always check the official event page and platform policy.
Monitor official medical/injury reports, weigh‑in results, commission announcements, confirmation of the fight card, credible reports of camp or corner changes, and major odds or liquidity shifts on related betting exchanges.