| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Garbrandt | 42% | 41¢ | 42¢ | — | $148K | Trade → |
| Xiao Long | 60% | 60¢ | 61¢ | — | $88K | Trade → |
This market lets traders take positions on the headlining bout at UFC 326 between Garbrandt and Long; it matters because fight outcomes affect fighter trajectories, rankings, and short-term market sentiment.
UFC numbered events headline high-profile matchups that can carry ranking implications and significant public attention. Headliner results often influence matchmaking, fighter momentum, and the broader betting market for the division.
Market prices reflect the aggregate views of participants and update as new information (injuries, weigh-ins, camp news) becomes available; they are a real-time signal of expectation, not a guarantee of outcome.
The market offers two mutually exclusive outcomes corresponding to each fighter winning the headliner; the market will be settled based on the officially announced winner for this bout.
The market resolves after the bout’s official result is posted by the athletic commission or the UFC and then reflected on the trading platform; the close time is determined by the platform and may be listed as TBD.
Late developments can materially change expectations and market prices. If the scheduled fighter is replaced or the bout is canceled, platform-specific rules apply—some markets are voided and refunded, others are adjusted—so consult Kalshi’s published resolution policy for this event.
Settlement depends on the platform’s terms: many markets are voided in the case of a no-contest or official draw, resulting in refunds, but users should check Kalshi’s official resolution rules for this event for the definitive outcome.
Track official weigh-in results, medical clearance updates, fight-week media and sparring reports, any announced injuries or replacements, and the athletic commission’s official bout result—these items have the most direct impact on this market’s settlement.