| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodolfo Bellato | 34% | 32¢ | 34¢ | — | $118K | Trade → |
| Luke Fernandez | 68% | 67¢ | 68¢ | — | $66K | Trade → |
This prediction market covers the outcome of the UFC 326 main event between Fernandez and Bellato, letting traders express expectations about which fighter will win. It matters because market prices aggregate publicly available information and sentiment from fans, bettors, and analysts.
UFC 326 is a numbered UFC event headlined by Fernandez vs Bellato; numbered cards typically draw more attention and deeper betting liquidity than smaller shows. The matchup’s significance depends on each fighter’s recent form, stylistic matchup, and any changes to camps or scheduling that precede the bout.
Market odds represent the collective expectation of traders about the fight outcome and move as new information arrives (injuries, weigh-ins, media reports, betting flows). Use prices as a dynamic signal, not a guarantee—they update up to platform-defined close times and reflect available public information.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; platform close time is typically set before the scheduled fight start, so monitor the KALSHI market page for updates and official closing announcements.
This market lists two outcomes corresponding to each fighter winning the bout; review the market description for exact outcome wording and any additional settlement conditions.
Resolution follows KALSHI’s published rules—many platforms have specific provisions for draws, no-contests, and cancellations (e.g., refunds or alternative settlement rules), so check the market’s terms for precise handling.
Watch official weigh-in results, medical or commission announcements, training-camp updates, pre-fight interviews, and any footage or reports indicating last-minute injuries, disciplinary actions, or strategic changes for Fernandez and Bellato.
Most markets resolve based on the official athletic-commission result (a disqualification or doctor stoppage is typically recorded as a win for one fighter), but confirm KALSHI’s settlement policy to see how atypical outcomes are treated.