| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UConn wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UConn wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UConn wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UConn wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins the 1H by over 3.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins the 1H by over 6.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins the 1H by over 9.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins the 1H by over 12.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins the 1H by over 15.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins the 1H by over 18.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express views on the first-half point differential between UConn and Duke using a set of discrete spread outcomes. It matters because first-half performance often reveals lineup matchups, tempo, and early tactical advantages that can influence live trading and hedging decisions.
UConn and Duke are high-profile college basketball programs with different styles that can affect early-game scoring and tempo; historical matchups and coaching philosophies shape expectations for how the first half will unfold. The market lists multiple outcome bands (10 outcomes) to capture a range of possible halftime margins rather than a single binary result.
Market prices reflect collective trader expectations about which spread band will contain the halftime margin and update as new information arrives. Use prices as real-time signals of market sentiment, remembering they can move quickly around lineup news, injuries, or in-game developments.
The event page lists the close as TBD; typically these markets close at or just before scheduled tip-off unless the platform posts an updated close time. Check the KALSHI event page for the official closing timestamp.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific halftime margin band ranging from a large UConn lead through a large Duke lead; the market page lists the exact band boundaries so traders can see which margin range each outcome covers.
It indicates there has been no recorded trading activity yet on KALSHI for this event; low or no volume means price discovery is limited and liquidity may be thin until traders start placing orders.
Late injury or lineup news typically causes rapid repricing as traders adjust expectations for first-half performance; significant changes to projected starters or minute distributions are most likely to move outcome prices.
Settlement is based on the official halftime score as recorded by the event’s designated official source per KALSHI rules; the outcome band containing the official halftime margin will be declared the winner.