| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UConn wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UConn wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UConn wins by over 4.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UConn wins by over 1.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 2.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 5.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 11.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 17.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Duke wins by over 20.5 Points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy outcomes tied to the point spread for the UConn at Duke college basketball game; it matters because spread outcomes summarize expected margin and reflect collective betting sentiment ahead of the matchup.
UConn and Duke are high-profile NCAA programs with histories of competing at a high level; matchup dynamics—roster availability, coaching matchups, and recent form—drive pregame expectations. This specific market offers 11 distinct spread outcomes, currently shows no traded volume, and has a closing time listed as TBD on the KALSHI platform.
Market prices represent the consensus view of which spread-range outcome is most likely and update as new information arrives; use them as a dynamic indicator alongside your own game-level analysis rather than a static forecast.
The market’s close time is listed as TBD on the event page; typically these markets close at the platform-defined pregame cutoff or at scheduled tip-off and resolve when the official final score is posted, subject to KALSHI’s settlement rules—check the event page for the definitive close and resolution details.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific point-margin outcome or spread interval as defined by the event listing; the single outcome that matches the official final margin of the game is the winning outcome according to the market’s published mapping.
Overtime is typically included in the final margin for settlement; postponements or cancellations are handled according to KALSHI’s rules and may result in voiding or alternate settlement procedures—refer to KALSHI’s official rulebook or the event page for this market’s specific policy.
The most market-moving developments are confirmed injuries to starters or key scorers, announced absences or suspensions, changes to the starting point guard or center, and credible reports about coaching rotations or strategic shifts that materially alter expected scoring or pace.
Prices typically react within minutes of a credible, confirmed announcement (team release, coach statement, or major outlet); the size of the move depends on the importance of the player and how much the announcement changes expected margin and matchup dynamics.