| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UCLA wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UCLA wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UCLA wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 19.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UCLA wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michigan St. wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell outcomes tied to the first-half point spread in the UCLA vs Michigan St. game; it matters because first-half markets capture early-game expectations and allow focused hedging or speculation on how the opening 20 minutes will unfold.
UCLA and Michigan State are programs with distinct styles and histories that drive matchup narratives; this market isolates the first half so pregame adjustments, starting lineups, and initial pace matter more than full-game conditioning or second-half coaching changes. Because closes are listed as TBD, timing and settlement rules set by the platform and the official game clock will determine when trading stops and how outcomes are resolved.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about the first-half scoring margin; movements occur as new information arrives (injury reports, lineup announcements, betting flow) and should be read as the market consensus at a point in time rather than a fixed prediction.
Close time is listed as TBD; typically the platform will close trading at or shortly before the official game tip-off or at a time specified on the event page. Check the KALSHI event page for the final close time and any last-minute updates.
Settlement is based on the official halftime score as recorded by the recognized game statistician or league source specified by the platform; the market will resolve to the outcome that matches that official halftime margin according to the market's outcome definitions.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete ranges of first-half point differentials spanning from one team winning by a large margin through a narrow margin and the other team winning; the exact outcome labels and boundaries are shown on the market interface and determine which bracket the official halftime score falls into.
Prices can move rapidly as soon as credible lineup or injury information is released; traders react in real time, so watch official team updates, press conferences, and verified social feeds before tip-off to understand why prices change.
No — this market covers only the first half, so late-game strategies and second-half adjustments do not factor into settlement; however, coaches' decisions about resting starters or using extended benches near the end of the first half can influence the outcome and should be monitored.