| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankfurt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ajax | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Newcastle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bilbao | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Villarreal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Marseille | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kairat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Pafos | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Slavia Prague | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Copenhagen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Napoli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Union Gilloise | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Inter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Manchester City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chelsea | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Sporting Lisbon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Eindhoven | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| SL Benfica | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Arsenal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Monaco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ PSG | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Bayern Munich | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Real Madrid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Leverkusen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tottenham | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barcelona | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Atletico | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bodoe/Glimt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Galatasaray | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Liverpool | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Qarabag | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Juventus | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Club Brugge | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Olympiacos | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Dortmund | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Atalanta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market tracks which clubs will qualify for the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals from the current knockout stage. It matters because it aggregates real-time information and expectations about which teams will advance in a high-stakes, two-leg elimination phase.
The UEFA Champions League knockout phase determines the eight quarterfinalists through home-and-away round-of-16 ties, with aggregate score and, if required, extra time and penalties deciding each pair. Historically, pre-tie favorites can be upset by form swings, injuries, tactical matchups and single-game incidents, making quarterfinal qualification a frequent source of surprises and trading activity.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which teams will progress but are not fixed predictions — they update as new information (injuries, lineups, results) arrives. Use prices as a snapshot of market sentiment rather than definitive outcomes.
Final qualification is decided when all round-of-16 ties are completed and UEFA confirms the eight quarterfinalists; the market’s settlement timing will follow the exchange’s published rules and may close earlier or be aligned with UEFA confirmations.
Outcomes are set by the aggregate results of the current round-of-16 ties: each two-leg fixture’s winner (after aggregate, extra time and penalties if necessary) is treated as a qualifier for the quarterfinals.
Yes — advancement decided in extra time or on penalties is treated the same as advancement in regulation; the team that ultimately progresses is the qualifier used for settlement.
Such events can affect timing and settlement according to the exchange’s event rules: postponed matches may delay finalization, and formal disqualifications or administrative decisions by UEFA can change which teams advance; consult the market terms for specific settlement contingencies.
Short-term news material to a club’s ability to win its tie—starting XI announcements, key injuries, or a shock first-leg score—typically moves market pricing quickly; traders use that information to reassess which teams are likeliest to reach the quarterfinals.