| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stony Brook wins by over 5.5 Points | 34% | 30¢ | 35¢ | — | $264 | Trade → |
| Stony Brook wins by over 2.5 Points | 46% | 41¢ | 46¢ | — | $177 | Trade → |
| Towson wins by over 1.5 Points | 50% | 46¢ | 50¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| Stony Brook wins by over 11.5 Points | 12% | 12¢ | 19¢ | — | $32 | Trade → |
| Towson wins by over 4.5 Points | 34% | 34¢ | 40¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Stony Brook wins by over 14.5 Points | 0% | 6¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Towson wins by over 13.5 Points | 0% | 9¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Towson wins by over 7.5 Points | 0% | 24¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stony Brook wins by over 8.5 Points | 0% | 20¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Towson wins by over 10.5 Points | 0% | 15¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Towson wins by over 16.5 Points | 0% | 3¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which margin-of-victory range will occur in the Towson at Stony Brook matchup (the spread). It matters because spread markets aggregate bettors' views about how close the game will be and react to news in real time.
Towson and Stony Brook are collegiate programs that have met multiple times in recent seasons across conference play; past results, roster turnover, and coaching changes influence expectations for any meeting. The market is listed on KALSHI with multiple discrete spread outcomes and remains open until the platform sets a closing time (currently TBD).
Each outcome corresponds to a specific margin band; market prices reflect how traders currently value the likelihood of the final margin falling in each band. Use the prices as a snapshot of market sentiment rather than a fixed forecast, and watch how prices move as injury, lineup, and weather news arrives.
The market's official close time is listed as TBD; typically spread markets close at or just before the game's scheduled kickoff, but check the platform's listed close or any platform updates for this specific event.
The 11 discrete outcomes partition potential final margins into bands (ranging from a large Stony Brook win through a close game to a large Towson win). A given outcome resolves as true if the official final margin falls within that outcome's band.
Most spread markets settle using the official final score as recorded by the sport's governing body, which generally includes overtime; if the game is postponed or canceled, settlement rules vary by platform—check KALSHI's event-specific settlement policy for refunds or voiding conditions.
Expect significant market movement based on availability and performance of starting quarterbacks, the lead running back/wide receiver, offensive line health, and the defenses' ability to force turnovers; late injury reports and active/inactive lists usually drive the largest price swings.
Volume is an indicator of liquidity and how much money has moved on the market: higher volume typically allows for larger trades without large price impact, while lower volume means individual trades can move prices more and suggests fewer participants are expressing views on this specific matchup.