| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Bautista Torres | 96% | 92¢ | 98¢ | — | $500 | Trade → |
| Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago | 4% | 1¢ | 65¢ | — | $500 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which competitor will win the sports matchup billed as "Torres vs Scramin Do Lago." It matters because market prices aggregate public information and update as new facts about the matchup emerge.
This is a head-to-head sporting contest listed on KALSHI; details such as the official date, venue, and sanctioning body may be set by promoters and athletic commissions and can change before the event. Historical context relevant to this market includes each fighter's recent activity, weight class, and any prior meetings or notable opponents, plus official announcements like fight confirmations, medical clearances, and weigh-in outcomes.
In a two-outcome market, each outcome corresponds to one fighter winning; market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders and will move as new information arrives. Pay attention to liquidity (total volume traded) and timing: prices early on can change sharply as the event approaches or as news breaks.
The market close and official event date are listed on the KALSHI market page; currently the market close is TBD. Check the market page and official promoter/commission announcements for the confirmed fight date and any last-minute schedule changes.
With two outcomes, each outcome corresponds to one competitor winning the match: one outcome for Torres winning and one outcome for Scramin Do Lago winning. Settlement follows the official result as recognized by the event’s sanctioning authority and KALSHI’s market rules.
Settlement in the event of a draw, no-contest, or cancellation depends on the market’s specific rules and the official ruling from the sanctioning body; consult the market description and KALSHI’s settlement policy for how those scenarios are handled for this event.
High-impact updates include official fight confirmation, fighter injuries or withdrawals, weigh-in outcomes (including missed weight), positive or failed drug-test results, and authoritative statements from promoters or athletic commissions; such news tends to prompt rapid price adjustments.
Yes — relatively low total volume means liquidity is limited, so prices can be moved by small trades and may be less stable or representative than higher-volume markets; consider that liquidity and watch for new information rather than relying solely on price signals.