| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 16.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New Orleans wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the first-half point spread between the Toronto and New Orleans teams will resolve; it matters for traders and bettors who focus on early-game advantages and halftime outcomes.
First-half spread markets isolate performance over the opening 24 minutes (or 20 minutes depending on league rules) and can differ from full-game expectations because of rotations, pace, and early-game strategies. The event is listed on KALSHI with 11 discrete outcomes and a close time marked TBD, so participants should monitor the listing for updates on timing and settlement rules.
Market prices reflect the collective view of participants about which side will cover the first-half spread and by how much; prices move as new information arrives (starting lineups, injury updates, tip-off status) and represent relative market sentiment rather than fixed predictions.
The close time is set by the exchange and may be updated before the game; many first-half spread markets close at or shortly before tip-off. Check the KALSHI event page for the announced close time and any last-minute changes.
The 11 outcomes correspond to discrete spread buckets or point-differential ranges for the first half (for example, specific margin buckets or 'Toronto by X' vs 'New Orleans by X'). Settlement maps the actual halftime point differential into the appropriate outcome according to the contract rules.
Settlement uses the official score at the end of the first half. Overtime and events after halftime do not affect this market. If the game is canceled, postponed, or otherwise not completed through halftime, the exchange's contract terms will specify cancellation or alternative settlement procedures.
Late pre-game news such as injuries or lineup changes can materially shift expectations for the first half because they affect rotations and matchups; markets typically react quickly, so prices may move substantially in the window between lineup release and tip-off.
Low reported volume indicates limited liquidity, meaning prices can be more volatile and larger orders may move the market; with many discrete outcomes, depth may be fragmented across buckets, so confirm order fills and consider execution risk before trading.