| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston wins the 1H by over 1.5 points | 53% | 53¢ | 56¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 4.5 points | 41% | 41¢ | 44¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 13.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 47¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 14.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 2.5 points | 0% | 25¢ | 67¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 11.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 32¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 8.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 45¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 17.5 points | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 7.5 points | 0% | 27¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins the 1H by over 5.5 points | 0% | 17¢ | 52¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston wins the 1H by over 10.5 points | 0% | 18¢ | 58¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which first-half spread outcome will occur in the Toronto vs Houston game; it matters to traders and bettors who want to express views on the halftime point differential rather than the final result.
The market is hosted on KALSHI and presents 11 discrete first-half spread outcomes, with total volume traded currently low and the market close time listed as TBD. Because outcome prices update as lineup news, in-game reports, and public betting flow arrive, this market reflects a continuously evolving synthesis of those inputs.
Prediction market odds summarize the crowd’s current relative assessment of each first-half spread outcome and move as new information is incorporated; treat them as real-time signals about market sentiment rather than guarantees of a specific result.
It measures which of the listed point-differential ranges (the discrete outcomes) applies at halftime — essentially the margin in favor of one team or the other after the first half.
A larger number of outcomes can produce thinner liquidity per outcome; with low volume, prices can be more volatile and sensitive to individual trades or news, so use additional game information before relying on the market as a primary signal.
Late lineup announcements, confirmed absences of key starters, tactical confirmations from coaches, and official pitch or weather advisories are all likely to shift expectations for the first half and therefore prices.
You can typically trade while the market is open on the platform; settlement will be based on the official halftime score or the platform’s stated resolution rules once the close is set, so monitor platform communications for the definitive close and settlement criteria.
Look at each team’s recent first-half goals for and against, head-to-head first-half trends when available, average starting formations and substitutions before halftime, and how each team performs in the opening 15–30 minutes in comparable fixtures.