| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III: 4+ | 45% | 39¢ | 49¢ | — | $63 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 3+ | 72% | 41¢ | 70¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 5+ | 0% | 21¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scottie Barnes: 4+ | 0% | 1¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 2+ | 0% | 61¢ | 93¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scottie Barnes: 5+ | 0% | 1¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scottie Barnes: 2+ | 0% | 1¢ | 38¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scottie Barnes: 3+ | 0% | 1¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trey Murphy III: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Scottie Barnes: 1+ | 0% | 53¢ | 67¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi market asks which of five predefined outcomes will describe the three-point result for the Toronto at New Orleans game. It matters because three-point volume and accuracy are a major driver of game outcomes and can be influenced by tempo, rotations, and matchup decisions.
Toronto and New Orleans present contrasting looks from deep across recent seasons: one team may rely more on screening and ball movement to create catch-and-shoot opportunities while the other can generate high-volume pull-up or spot-up attempts from wings and guards. Pre-game context — injuries, rest, recent shooting form, and head-to-head matchup history — frames expectations for how many threes will be attempted and made in this specific contest.
Market odds are an aggregation of participant expectations about which of the five outcomes will occur and will move as new public information appears; use odds shifts as real-time signals about injuries, lineup changes, and tempo rather than guarantees.
The market offers five mutually exclusive outcomes defined on the Kalshi event page; each outcome corresponds to a particular range or category for three-point production and will be resolved according to the market's stated settlement rules and the official game statistics.
The listed close time for this market is TBD; Kalshi typically posts the official close time on the market page and often closes markets at or before tip-off—check the market details for the definitive closing time.
Settlement follows the market's rule set and the official box score used by the platform; unless the market page explicitly excludes overtime, made three-pointers recorded in overtime are generally included—verify the market's rules to be certain.
Confirmed late availability changes can materially alter expected shot distributions and the market will typically react as traders incorporate that news; monitor official team reports and in-season injury updates before trading or interpreting odds movements.
Resolution in those circumstances follows Kalshi's event-resolution policy: markets are resolved based on the platform's rules and the availability of an official game box score. If no official stats are produced, the market may be voided or otherwise settled according to Kalshi's stated procedures—consult the platform's rules for final determinations.