| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Jersey wins by over 1.5 goals | 32% | 30¢ | 32¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Toronto wins by over 1.5 goals | 27% | 24¢ | 28¢ | — | $135 | Trade → |
| Toronto wins by over 2.5 goals | 13% | 15¢ | 18¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| New Jersey wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 19¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the point/goal spread will fall in the Toronto at New Jersey game; it matters for traders who want to express views about the margin of victory rather than just the winner.
The market reflects matchup-specific factors such as recent team form, injuries, starting goaltender or pitcher, and home-ice/home-court effects between Toronto and New Jersey. Historical head-to-head trends and special-teams or matchup advantages often shape expectations leading into the game. Because the listed close time is TBD, participants should watch for lineup and timing updates before trading.
Prices in the market represent the aggregated beliefs of traders about whether Toronto will cover various spread ranges against New Jersey; movements incorporate new information (lineup news, injuries, rest) and liquidity. Use prices as a dynamic signal of market sentiment, and confirm settlement rules on the event page to understand exactly which game-periods and margins determine outcomes.
The close time is marked TBD on the event page; typically markets like this close at the official scheduled start of the game or at a platform-specified cutoff. Check the KALSHI event page for the finalized close time and any last-minute updates.
The spread outcome refers to whether Toronto covers or fails to cover the specified margin ranges against New Jersey; each outcome corresponds to a range of final-margin results as defined on the event page. Review the contract description to see whether outcomes are framed as 'Toronto covers by X' or as discrete margin bands.
Late roster changes can materially affect the market and are incorporated into prices if announced before the market closes. For settlement, the event will use final, official game data and the contract's stated rules — verify whether the market counts only regulation time or includes overtime.
Resolution depends on the market's settlement rules on the event page; some spread markets use only regulation-time results while others include overtime/shootouts. Always confirm the specific settlement definition on the contract before trading.
Use this market as a real-time aggregation of crowd sentiment and compare it with sportsbook spreads and official team reports. Cross-check official lineup and injury announcements, consider liquidity and price movement, and manage position size to account for late-breaking news.