| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raphael Collignon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which player will win the second set of the match between Tommy Paul and Raphael Collignon. It matters for traders who want exposure to a single-set outcome rather than the full-match result.
Tommy Paul is an experienced tour-level player while Raphael Collignon is an emerging competitor; matchups like this can feature a mix of established patterns and potential upsets. Set-specific markets isolate short-term dynamics—momentum shifts, tactical adjustments, and physical condition—that can differ from expectations for the overall match.
Market odds are a real-time expression of collective expectations about who will win set 2 and will move as new information arrives (match progress, injuries, conditions). Treat odds as a snapshot of market sentiment, not a fixed prediction.
This market offers two outcomes: Tommy Paul wins set 2 or Raphael Collignon wins set 2. Settlement is based on the official match score for the second set as recorded by the tournament; a tiebreak winner is the set winner when applicable.
The market closing time is listed as TBD; the exchange sets the close time and may close trading at or before match start or when trading is suspended. Check the market page or exchange announcements for the final closing time.
Settlement follows the exchange’s official rules and the tournament’s official result. If set 2 is not played, the market may be void or settled according to those rules—consult Kalshi’s settlement policy for this specific market.
If set 2 is completed before a retirement, the completed set’s official winner determines settlement. If retirement occurs before the set is completed, settlement depends on the exchange’s rules and the official scoring—refer to Kalshi’s policies for specifics.
Key indicators include the first-set score and duration, players’ movement and visible fitness, first-serve percentage and break-point statistics, any medical timeouts or coaching visible between sets, and changing weather or court conditions.