| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres wins by over 1.5 goals | 26% | 25¢ | 26¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Tigres wins by over 2.5 goals | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Puebla wins by over 1.5 goals | 0% | 8¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Puebla wins by over 2.5 goals | 0% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations about the goal-margin (spread) outcome when Tigres play at Puebla; spreads translate match outcome into ranges that determine which of the four outcomes settles. Spread markets matter because they capture market-wide views on margin of victory and can be used to hedge or leverage directional views on the match.
Tigres and Puebla are Liga MX clubs whose matchups are shaped by recent form, squad availability, and tactical matchups; home-field factors for Puebla and travel/rest for Tigres commonly influence expected margins. The market currently shows $4,285 in traded volume across four outcomes and is listed on KALSHI; official close time is set by the platform and is currently TBD.
Market prices (odds) reflect collective expectations about which spread-range outcome will occur; a higher price indicates the market assigns relatively greater likelihood to that outcome compared with others. Use prices as a dynamic signal and update your view when new information arrives (lineups, injuries, weather, or late team news).
The platform (KALSHI) sets the official close time; this event currently shows a close time of TBD, so check the market page for the posted closing timestamp before trading.
There are four mutually exclusive spread outcomes, each corresponding to a different range of goal-margin results that determine settlement; view the market description on KALSHI to see the exact margin ranges assigned to each outcome.
Monitor official starting XI announcements, injury and suspension updates, pre-match press conferences, and any late roster changes—these items typically move expectations for goal margins more than early-season form.
Head-to-head history can provide context about tactical matchups and psychological edges, but recent form, current rosters, and immediate circumstances usually have greater predictive value for the settled spread ranges.
Lower volume can mean wider spreads and bigger price impact for trades; consider smaller position sizes, expect higher slippage, and watch for price moves around major news updates or at market close.