| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bauchou | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Max McGreevy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Andrew Novak | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Patrick Rodgers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Scottie Scheffler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Brian Campbell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Bud Cauley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wyndham Clark | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Michael Brennan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Eric Cole | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tony Finau | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Steven Fisk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ben Griffin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Russell Henley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jason Day | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Brian Harman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Lucas Glover | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| A.J. Ewart | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ryan Fox | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Harry Hall | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Corey Conners | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Emiliano Grillo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chris Gotterup | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Joel Dahmen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Zecheng Dou | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tom Hoge | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Michael Kim | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Robert MacIntyre | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Takumi Kanaya | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Mark Hubbard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jake Knapp | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kurt Kitayama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| John Keefer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chris Kirk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Joe Highsmith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hao-Tong Li | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Rico Hoey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Stephan Jaeger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Seonghyeon Kim | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Garrick Higgo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sungjae Im | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Mac Meissner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Alex Noren | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Marco Penge | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Matthew McCarty | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Andrew Putnam | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Taylor Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Aaron Rai | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| William Mouw | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chad Ramey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Matthieu Pavon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| J.T. Poston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Chandler Phillips | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Keith Mitchell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Davis Riley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Denny McCarthy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Patton Kizzire | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| J.J. Spaun | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kevin Roy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Adam Schenk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Matti Schmid | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Karl Vilips | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jordan L. Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Davis Thompson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Seamus Power | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Nick Taylor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Danny Walker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Gary Woodland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Vince Whaley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sam Stevens | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Alex Smalley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Kevin Yu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sami Valimaki | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Erik Van Rooyen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sepp Straka | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lee Hodges | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Ford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Sam Burns | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Harris English | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ryan Gerard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Akshay Bhatia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Shane Lowry | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Si Woo Kim | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Rory McIlroy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Adam Scott | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Daniel Berger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Xander Schauffele | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Collin Morikawa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Justin Thomas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ricky Castillo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Max Greyserman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cameron Davis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Max Homa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Rickie Fowler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Justin Rose | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Taylor Pendrith | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Patrick Cantlay | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Viktor Hovland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Brooks Koepka | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Cameron Young | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Min Woo Lee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Ludvig Aberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Jordan Spieth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Austin Smotherman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sahith Theegala | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Maverick McNealy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on which golfer is listed as the leader at the conclusion of Round 1 of THE PLAYERS Championship; it matters because early-round leaders reflect immediate performance and short-term conditions that drive in-play trading.
THE PLAYERS Championship is one of the PGA Tour's signature events played at TPC Sawgrass, a course known for its demanding holes and changing conditions. Round‑by‑round leaders at this venue can reflect course fit and daily weather; historical patterns show that a strong first round can create momentum but does not guarantee a final victory.
Prediction market prices for this event aggregate trader expectations about who will top the leaderboard after the first round and update as new information arrives (tee times, pairings, weather, live scores). Treat prices as a realtime signal that changes with on‑course information rather than a fixed forecast.
This specific market's close time is listed as TBD by the platform; in practice, platforms typically close trading at or shortly before the tournament's Round 1 completion or according to their published schedule, so check the KALSHI event page for the definitive close time.
The outcome is determined by the official tournament leaderboard at the conclusion of Round 1 as published by the PGA Tour (or the tournament's official scorer). Settlement follows the platform's stated resolution rules, so consult KALSHI's settlement policy for tie or cancellation procedures.
Tee times matter because morning waves may face calmer wind and different course moisture than later groups; those differences often translate into scoring advantages or disadvantages that affect who tops the leaderboard after the first 18 holes.
A strong first round can provide momentum, but single-round leaders at TPC Sawgrass are only one of many predictors; the tournament spans four rounds, so consistency, weekend play, and changing conditions typically determine the final champion.
Real‑time leaderboard updates, weather/starters updates for TPC Sawgrass, live scoring feeds (holes-in-one, scoring swings), and any late player availability or withdrawal notices are the most actionable signals for this market.