| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Koepka | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Xander Schauffele | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| Sahith Theegala | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Keith Mitchell | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Min Woo Lee | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Ludvig Aberg | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Collin Morikawa | 3% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Jordan Spieth | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Akshay Bhatia | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Daniel Berger | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Cameron Young | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Rory McIlroy | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Si Woo Kim | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Viktor Hovland | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Jake Knapp | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Chris Gotterup | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Max Homa | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Tom Hoge | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Ricky Castillo | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Brian Harman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Rickie Fowler | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Rico Hoey | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| J.T. Poston | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $935 | Trade → |
| Sungjae Im | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $935 | Trade → |
| Denny McCarthy | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $935 | Trade → |
| Scottie Scheffler | 7% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $924 | Trade → |
| Ryan Gerard | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $879 | Trade → |
| Sepp Straka | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $875 | Trade → |
| Aaron Rai | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $760 | Trade → |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $700 | Trade → |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $695 | Trade → |
| Bud Cauley | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $676 | Trade → |
| Corey Conners | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $643 | Trade → |
| Jason Day | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $633 | Trade → |
| Michael Brennan | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $560 | Trade → |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $560 | Trade → |
| Max Greyserman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $560 | Trade → |
| Justin Thomas | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $538 | Trade → |
| Sam Stevens | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $467 | Trade → |
| Max McGreevy | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $467 | Trade → |
| Harris English | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $467 | Trade → |
| Maverick McNealy | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $400 | Trade → |
| Shane Lowry | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $381 | Trade → |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $380 | Trade → |
| Austin Smotherman | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $374 | Trade → |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $374 | Trade → |
| Harry Hall | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $372 | Trade → |
| Robert MacIntyre | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $327 | Trade → |
| Wyndham Clark | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $288 | Trade → |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $256 | Trade → |
| J.J. Spaun | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $210 | Trade → |
| Taylor Pendrith | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| Joel Dahmen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $187 | Trade → |
| Ben Griffin | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $187 | Trade → |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $187 | Trade → |
| Patrick Cantlay | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $139 | Trade → |
| Ryan Fox | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $93 | Trade → |
| Justin Rose | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $47 | Trade → |
| Pierceson Coody | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $46 | Trade → |
| Steven Fisk | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Roy | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrew Novak | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chris Kirk | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zachary Bauchou | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eric Cole | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vince Whaley | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Garrick Higgo | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adam Scott | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Adam Schenk | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrew Putnam | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Smalley | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brian Campbell | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hao-Tong Li | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chandler Phillips | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Davis Riley | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Davis Thompson | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cameron Davis | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Emiliano Grillo | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gary Woodland | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Erik Van Rooyen | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Karl Vilips | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Yu | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lee Hodges | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mac Meissner | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Hubbard | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matthieu Pavon | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matti Schmid | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Kim | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marco Penge | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matthew McCarty | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Patrick Rodgers | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nick Taylor | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tony Finau | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sami Valimaki | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Seonghyeon Kim | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Takumi Kanaya | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zecheng Dou | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| William Mouw | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Keefer | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan L. Smith | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Russell Henley | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sam Burns | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Noren | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Highsmith | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Danny Walker | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| A.J. Ewart | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephan Jaeger | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chad Ramey | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kurt Kitayama | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lucas Glover | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market resolves on which golfer is listed as the leader at the conclusion of Round 1 of THE PLAYERS Championship; it matters because early-round leaders reflect immediate performance and short-term conditions that drive in-play trading.
THE PLAYERS Championship is one of the PGA Tour's signature events played at TPC Sawgrass, a course known for its demanding holes and changing conditions. Round‑by‑round leaders at this venue can reflect course fit and daily weather; historical patterns show that a strong first round can create momentum but does not guarantee a final victory.
Prediction market prices for this event aggregate trader expectations about who will top the leaderboard after the first round and update as new information arrives (tee times, pairings, weather, live scores). Treat prices as a realtime signal that changes with on‑course information rather than a fixed forecast.
This specific market's close time is listed as TBD by the platform; in practice, platforms typically close trading at or shortly before the tournament's Round 1 completion or according to their published schedule, so check the KALSHI event page for the definitive close time.
The outcome is determined by the official tournament leaderboard at the conclusion of Round 1 as published by the PGA Tour (or the tournament's official scorer). Settlement follows the platform's stated resolution rules, so consult KALSHI's settlement policy for tie or cancellation procedures.
Tee times matter because morning waves may face calmer wind and different course moisture than later groups; those differences often translate into scoring advantages or disadvantages that affect who tops the leaderboard after the first 18 holes.
A strong first round can provide momentum, but single-round leaders at TPC Sawgrass are only one of many predictors; the tournament spans four rounds, so consistency, weekend play, and changing conditions typically determine the final champion.
Real‑time leaderboard updates, weather/starters updates for TPC Sawgrass, live scoring feeds (holes-in-one, scoring swings), and any late player availability or withdrawal notices are the most actionable signals for this market.