| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler beats Fleetwood and Thomas | 52% | 1¢ | 52¢ | — | $66 | Trade → |
| Tommy Fleetwood beats Thomas and Scheffler | 36% | 1¢ | 36¢ | — | $58 | Trade → |
| Justin Thomas beats Scheffler and Fleetwood | 0% | 1¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market is a first-round 3-ball contest at THE PLAYERS Championship featuring Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and Tommy Fleetwood; it lets traders take positions on which of these three posts the best official score in the tournament’s first round. It matters because head-to-head groupings spotlight small-sample performance differences and respond quickly to late-breaking information.
THE PLAYERS is played at TPC Sawgrass, a course known for penal par-3s, risk-reward holes, and strong wind sensitivity; first-round results can be shaped heavily by tee times and morning vs. afternoon conditions. Scheffler, Thomas, and Fleetwood are elite players with different recent form profiles and course strengths, so their comparative first-round performance reflects both individual preparation and situational factors on the day.
Market prices represent the collective, real-time view of traders about which of the three will record the lowest official first-round score; they move as new information (tee times, weather, withdrawals, practice-round reports) arrives but are not guarantees of outcomes.
Each outcome corresponds to one of the three named players; the market settles in favor of the player who posts the lowest official first-round score as recorded by tournament officials.
Settlement occurs after the tournament posts and certifies the official first-round scores for the players in this group; the market remains open until the exchange publishes its close and settlement times (listed as TBD) and follows those procedures.
Tie resolution follows the exchange’s official settlement rules for this market; exchanges typically specify whether tied outcomes split value, result in a designated tie outcome, or use another method—check the market’s settlement terms on the exchange.
If a player withdraws, the market will settle according to the exchange’s rules: a pre-round withdrawal may change available outcomes or lead to cancellation per the platform policy, while an in-round withdrawal usually results in the official WD scoring entry being used for settlement—confirm the exchange’s stated handling of withdrawals.
Monitor the players’ official tee times and starting holes, live weather/wind forecasts for their tee-time window, tournament-issued pairings and pin sheets, any practice-round or on-course reports (short-game and putting form), and official injury or withdrawal notices for Scheffler, Thomas, or Fleetwood.