| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| UT Martin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which team will win the matchup between The Citadel and UT Martin; it matters because trading prices reflect the market’s aggregated view of who is more likely to win. It provides a real-time way to track changing expectations as new information arrives.
The Citadel (Bulldogs) and UT Martin (Skyhawks) are NCAA programs that typically meet as non-conference or early-season opponents; program pedigrees, conference affiliation, and roster turnover shape expectations. Historical head-to-head meetings can be infrequent, so recent season performance, injuries, and match-specific factors often drive assessments more than long-ago results.
Market prices represent the consensus view of traders and move as new information (injuries, starting lineups, weather, or late scratches) becomes available. Treat prices as a continuously updated summary of available public information rather than a fixed prediction.
There are two outcome contracts: one that pays if The Citadel wins and one that pays if UT Martin wins; settlement is based on the official game result reported by the event resolver.
The market close time is listed as TBD on this page; typically markets close shortly before kickoff, but you should check the KALSHI market page for the official and binding close time for this specific event.
Official injury reports and confirmed starting-lineup releases can materially change expectations; traders generally update positions after verified announcements and weigh the absence of a key starter more heavily than minor depth changes.
If the game is outdoors, adverse weather (wind, heavy rain, extreme cold) can favor teams with a run-focused offense or stronger special teams; field surface (grass vs. turf) and any venue change can also influence matchup dynamics and fatigue from travel.
Resolution procedures depend on KALSHI’s event rules: markets may be suspended, voided, or settled based on an official result or rescheduled date; consult the KALSHI market rules and the specific event page for the governing resolution policy.