| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | 56% | 48¢ | 55¢ | — | $88 | Trade → |
| Texas | 53% | 40¢ | 50¢ | — | $64 | Trade → |
This market tracks which side wins the listed Texas vs San Francisco sporting matchup on KALSHI. It matters because it aggregates participant expectations about the game outcome and reacts to new information like injuries, lineup changes, and weather.
Texas and San Francisco refer to the two competing teams named in the contract; consult the event details to confirm the sport, season, and venue. Historical matchups, roster changes, coaching decisions, and the timing of the game all shape pre-game expectations and can drive price movement in the market.
Prices in this market reflect the collective beliefs of traders about which team will win and will move as new, salient information arrives; low traded volume can make prices more volatile and sensitive to single trades.
The closing time is shown on the market page; if it reads TBD, the platform will announce a final close time before the contract resolves—monitor the listing for updates.
Resolution follows the contract description on KALSHI—check whether the market resolves on final score after regulation, after overtime, or by another official ruling, and use the authoritative game report named in the contract.
Resolution in those cases is governed by KALSHI’s resolution policy for the specific event; markets may be suspended, voided, or rescheduled depending on the platform’s rules and the contract language.
Monitor official starting lineups, injury reports, pre-game press conferences, weather forecasts, and late scratches; also check historical head-to-head trends and recent form for both teams as new information becomes available.
Not necessarily—the market title may not indicate venue. Always check the market’s detailed description or event metadata for the official location and home/away designation.