| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Luzardo: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo: 7+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo: 8+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo: 9+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo: 10+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesús Luzardo: 11+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore: 3+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore: 4+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore: 5+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore: 6+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore: 7+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore: 8+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore: 9+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MacKenzie Gore: 10+ | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market covers strikeout-related outcomes for the Texas vs Philadelphia matchup on KALSHI; it matters because strikeout totals are driven by pitching matchups and in-game decisions that traders can price. Market prices summarize collective expectations about how many strikeouts will occur in that specific game.
Historical strikeout context includes each club's pitching staff tendencies, recent rotation health, and how their hitters have fared against high-K pitchers. Ballpark effects, weather, and recent lineup trends also shape expected strikeout rates for this matchup. Because teams and rotations change frequently, up-to-date lineup and injury information is central to assessing this market.
Market prices are a real-time signal of how traders are incorporating news (starter announcements, weather, injuries) into expected strikeout outcomes; interpret movement as updated consensus expectations rather than fixed forecasts.
This market lists 16 discrete outcomes; each outcome corresponds to a particular strikeout total range or specific strikeout condition defined in the contract—consult the market page for the exact mapping and resolution rules.
Close time is listed as TBD on the page; the market will resolve according to the contract’s resolution rules, typically after official game statistics are posted by the designated data source—check the market description for the official resolver and timing.
The announced starting pitchers for both teams, primary late-inning relievers, and any lineup changes to high-strikeout or low-strikeout hitters will have the largest impact on expectations and market prices.
Late scratches and pitcher swaps materially change expected strikeouts and typically trigger rapid price adjustments as traders incorporate the new matchups, so monitor the market closely around lineup and starter announcements.
The KALSHI market page for this event contains the contract text, resolution source, and any timing details; use that page for the official rules and follow live lineup/injury updates from team and league sources for real-time context.