| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether at least one run will be scored during the first inning of the Texas vs Philadelphia game. Early-inning scoring influences momentum and is a common focal point for short-duration betting and in-play strategies.
First-inning scoring is shaped by the announced starting pitchers, the top of each batting order, and managerial tactics such as small-ball or aggressive baserunning. Ballpark factors (dimensions, altitude) and weather (wind, precipitation) historically affect how often runs appear early in games.
Market prices reflect traders’ aggregated expectations about first-inning scoring and will move as lineup announcements, pitcher status, and weather updates arrive. Use changes in odds as a realtime signal of shifting information rather than a definitive prediction.
Settlement is based on the official game scoring: if one or more runs are recorded during the first inning (top or bottom) in the official box score, the market resolves accordingly. For edge cases (suspensions, rule exceptions), follow KALSHI's published market rules.
Markets of this type typically lock at or shortly before the scheduled first pitch; because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', check the KALSHI market page for the exact lock time and any last-minute updates.
Yes. Any run that is officially recorded in the first inning on the official box score (including runs scored on errors, wild pitches, passed balls, etc.) counts toward settlement.
If the first inning is not completed due to postponement or suspension, resolution follows KALSHI's market rules; markets may be voided, suspended until completion, or resolved per the platform's contingency policies. Check the specific market terms for handling incomplete games.
Watch the confirmed starting pitchers and their recent first-inning tendencies, the top three hitters in each announced lineup, any late scratches or batting-order shifts, and up-to-date weather/wind reports for the ballpark. Umpire assignment and last-minute pitcher changes can also materially affect early-inning scoring.