| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 3.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 5.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Over 6.5 runs in the first 5 innings | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many runs will be scored in the first five innings of the Texas vs Philadelphia game and allows traders to take positions specifically on early-game scoring. It matters because first-five totals emphasize starting pitching and lineup matchups while excluding late-inning bullpen and extra-inning volatility.
Expectations for first-five scoring combine each team’s offensive tendencies with the quality and handedness of the scheduled starting pitchers; recent form and injuries also shape the short-run outlook. Historical head-to-heads and season splits provide context, but day-to-day factors like final lineups, pitcher health, and venue conditions typically drive the largest deviations from season norms.
Market odds reflect the collective market view of which first-five run outcomes are viewed as more or less likely and will move as new information arrives. Use the odds as a real-time consensus signal, but weigh them alongside pregame news (starters, lineups, weather) before trading.
Close time is set by the exchange and may be listed on the market page; typically these markets close at or shortly before the scheduled first pitch or when lineups and starters are locked, so check the KALSHI event page for the official cutoff.
The seven outcomes correspond to discrete, mutually exclusive run-total categories for runs scored through the first five innings (either exact totals or ranges); view the market interface to see the exact label and settlement rule for each outcome.
Starting pitchers are the primary driver of first-five scoring expectations; an announced ace, a bullpen opener, or a last-minute pitching change typically produces the largest immediate market moves as traders reassess expected runs.
Identify which stadium hosts the game and whether it’s indoors or outdoors; outdoor venues with warm temperatures and wind blowing out typically favor higher early scoring, while cold, calm conditions or pitcher-friendly park designs suppress it—confirm conditions before trading.
Significant pregame disruptions usually prompt rapid repricing and may trigger temporary trading pauses; the market will update as official information becomes available, and settlement will follow the exchange’s rules if the game is postponed or altered.